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I've been tracking with a lot of what you're saying here but I do have a couple questions. Do you have any further references on the 1st year of the next cycle beginning on the 50th year of the previous cycle? The best argument I see for that right now is that some of the other signs point to this year being the Jubilee. I still, though, question why Shavuot is a 50 but does not (seemingly) begin a new cycle.

Also, it's clear that, if Usher's dates are right, and if the 50/1 count is the right accounting, 2025 (on 1 Nisan) would be the 70th Yovel, but I've always assumed when Jesus started his ministry by proclaiming Isaiah 61 (Luke 4) he was declaring that it was the time of release and that it would be a Jubilee year. But, if this Jubilee cycle is this accounting, there would've been a Jubilee in 16 AD and then not another one until 65 AD (at least that's the math my ridiculous spreadsheet came up with...). So either Jesus began his ministry in 16 AD or that proclamation wasn't proclaiming Jubilee, even though that's what should be expected by the reading of the Jubilee scripture (especially since he says that the scripture was fulfilled that day).

Sorry for the long comment but I was just bouncing some of my thoughts your way. I hope this all makes sense and I look forward to your thoughts.

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